CODICE 41601 ANNO ACCADEMICO 2018/2019 CFU 9 cfu anno 1 ECONOMIA E ISTITUZIONI FINANZIARIE 8700 (LM-56) - GENOVA SETTORE SCIENTIFICO DISCIPLINARE SECS-S/01 LINGUA Inglese SEDE GENOVA PERIODO 2° Semestre PROPEDEUTICITA Propedeuticità in uscita Questo insegnamento è propedeutico per gli insegnamenti: ECONOMIA E ISTITUZIONI FINANZIARIE 8700 (coorte 2018/2019) FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS 85554 MATERIALE DIDATTICO AULAWEB OBIETTIVI E CONTENUTI OBIETTIVI FORMATIVI The course aims at providing a thorough account of classical statistical inference at an intermediate level. After an introduction to probability theory, the course will focus on point and interval estimation and on hypothesis testing. Particular attention will be given to likelihood based methods. Classes will be held in English. OBIETTIVI FORMATIVI (DETTAGLIO) E RISULTATI DI APPRENDIMENTO The course aims at providing a thorough account of classical statistical inference at an intermediate level. After an introduction to probability theory, the course will focus on point and interval estimation and on hypothesis testing. Particular attention will be given to likelihood based methods. Classes will be held in English. MODALITA' DIDATTICHE Modalità didattiche Classes, computer sessions. Presente su Aulaweb Yes ☒ PROGRAMMA/CONTENUTO Introduction to probability theory. Random variables. Discrete random variables: Bernoulli, Binomial, Hypergeometric, Poisson, Geometric, Negative Binomial. Continuous random variables: Uniform, Gaussian, Exponential, Gamma, Weibull. Multivariate random variables. Convergence theorems: Central Limit Theorem, Weak Law of Large Numbers. Introduction to statistical inference: sampling, induction and sampling error. Statistics and sampling distributions. Likelihood. Theory of point estimation. Properties of estimators. Estimation methods. Maximum likelihood estimators. Interval estimation. Interval estimation of the mean and variance of the Normal distribution. Exact intervals for the mean of Bernoulli and Poisson distributions. Large sample approximations for Bernoulli and Poisson distributions. Hypothesis testing: errors and power function. Neyman-Pearson Lemma. Uniformly Most Powerful tests. Maximum likelihood ratio tests. Mean comparison in independent and paired samples. One way ANOVA. Chi squared test of independence. TESTI/BIBLIOGRAFIA The same textbook is available both in English and in Italian: English version Mood AM, Graybill FA and Boes DC, Introduction to the theory of statistics, 3rd edition (available on Aulaweb). Italian version Mood AM, Graybill FA and Boes DC, Introduzione alla statistica, Mc-Graw Hill. Further readings: Garthwaite OH, Jolliffe IT and Jones B, Statistical Inference, 2nd Edition, Oxford Science Publications. Casella G and Berger RL, Statistical Inference. Duxbury Additional course materials (both in Italian and in English) will be available on AulaWeb. DOCENTI E COMMISSIONI CORRADO LAGAZIO Ricevimento: Martedì 16.30-18.00 Commissione d'esame CORRADO LAGAZIO (Presidente) ENRICO DI BELLA LUCA PERSICO LEZIONI INIZIO LEZIONI Sem: 2° Orari delle lezioni STATISTICAL MODELS ESAMI MODALITA' D'ESAME Oral Calendario appelli Data appello Orario Luogo Tipologia Note 09/01/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 23/01/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 06/02/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 05/06/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 21/06/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 10/07/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto 10/09/2019 09:00 GENOVA Scritto ALTRE INFORMAZIONI Risultati di apprendimento previsti Conoscenza e comprensione Students will acquire a deep knowledge of the principles of statistical inference and of the main inferential tools. Capacità di applicare conoscenza e comprensione At the end of the course students will be able to use the most important probabilistic models, to choose the most appropriate estimator for the parameters of a probabilistic model on the basis of its properties, to estimate means and proportions, to compare mean and variances. Autonomia di giudizio Gli studenti devono saper utilizzare sia sul piano concettuale che su quello operativo le conoscenze acquisite con autonoma capacità di valutazione e con abilità nei diversi contesti applicativi. Abilità comunicative Gli studenti devono acquisire il linguaggio tecnico tipico della disciplina per comunicare in modo chiaro e senza ambiguità con interlocutori specialisti e non specialisti. Capacità di apprendimento This course enables students to undertake advanced courses in statistical inference and econometrics.