The course generalise the concept of structural design from a deterministic to a probabilistic viewpoint: compliance to requirements is assessed on the basis of the probability of crisis and, possibly of consequences
Concept of structural reliability and safety with application to marine loads and structures. Procedures for reliability assessments. Capacity of interpreting structural reliability assessments and of performing short/long term predictions of sea loads.
The course aims at providing the student with probabilistic methods for the design of marine structures
Undergraduate courses on ship structures design, module on Statistics and Probability
Theoretical lessons and class exercises for a total of about 60 hours
The general concepts of algebra of sets, events and their relationship, probability and conditional probability, provided by the preceding course of Statistics and Probability are applied to structural design cases.
Stochastic variables and vectors, joint probability distributions and inherent indexes - stochastic processes and inherent properties.
Stochastic models for loads and resistances and inherent uncertainties with reference to ship structures. Short and long term predictions of sea loads
The concept of reliability of systems and of structural reliability - reliability evaluation methods.
Notes are provided in English of what covered in the lessons.
Other readings:
M.K. Ochi “Applied Probability & stochastic processes” John Wiley & sons
I. Elishakoff “Probabilistic methods in the theory of structures” John Wiley & sons
H.O. Madsen, S. Krenk, N.C. Lind “Methods of structural safety” Prentice-Hall
G. Solari Notes from the seminar “Principles of structural safety” (in italian)
P. Erto Probabilità e Statistica per le Scienze e l’Ingegneria, 3/ed, The McGraw-Hill Companies srl
ENRICO RIZZUTO (President)
STEFANO VIGNOLO (President)
Oral interview, with exercises to be developed at blackboard and theoretical questions
Marks between 18/30 (min) and 30/30 (max)
